You obviously have never taken statistics in your life. That's not how a random probability works. The chance of it happening 4 weeks in a row is still the same percentage. It does not make it any less likely for it to happen the next week or the week after. The percentage will never change because it's said to be completely random.
Your role as a moderator enables you immediately ban this user from messaging (bypassing the report queue) if you select a punishment.
7 Day Ban
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