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originally posted in:Sapphire
5/20/2013 10:41:53 PM
3
Syrian Conflict Complexity
[quote]AMMAN/BEIRUT (Reuters) - Lebanese Hezbollah guerrillas have fought their biggest battle yet for Syria's beleaguered president, prompting international alarm that the civil war may spread and an urgent call for restraint from the United States.
About 30 Hezbollah fighters were killed on Sunday, Syrian activists said, along with 20 Syrian troops and militiamen loyal to President Bashar al-Assad during the fiercest fighting this year in the rebel stronghold of Qusair, near the Lebanon border.[/quote]
Not only is the conflict getting worse by the day regarding the fight against Assad, but now we're getting the first concrete evidence that a proxy war is happening in the war. Iran is both using it's Qud's Force and Hezbollah to fight for Assad, and Qatar and Saudi Arabia are both funding Sunni opposition groups. So, it again gets more complicated, because of these proxies the war is getting more and more sectarian. The fact that mujahideen, more often than not Sunni mujahideen, are flocking to Syria doesn't help the sectarian crisis there. Another way that this whole war is complex is the Kurdish conflict in Syria; something that get's widely overlooked. The Kurds, in general, are fighting both the Syrian regime and the opposition; however, depending on the group, they've also been known to fight alongside the opposition and there are even Kurds in leadership positions in the al-Qaeda-affiliated al-Nusra Front.
All in all, the Syrian Conflict is a hugely complex war. As one reporter from the BBC put it: "If you're not confused by the complexity of the Syrian Conflict, you don't know the Syrian conflict." Sums it up quite nicely.
Your thoughts and/or opinions on this or rather the Syrian Conflict, in general?
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1 ReplyThe Syrian conflict is incredibly complicated. The fact that the situation continues to get worse, as well as more sectarian is proof that the United States and her allies should be working to identify and support moderate groups that are opposed to Assad.
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I would say the U.S. should pull its support, but that would be disastrous in the diplomatic community. We basically have to hope that the C.I.A. can pull some more of its magic and pull together these disparate groups, but that's probably hoping for too much. Most likely Assad will fall, and civil war will lead to genocide among all these groups who are going to start to fight each other for power. And of course, it would suck more now than ever before for the United States' reputation.
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The situation is going to get worse no matter what, Nations where not as keen to get involved in Syria for a variety of reasons, the major one being that they where afraid that getting involved would lead to what Libya is facing right now. That's why there has been so much push to get a negotiation between the rebels and the Assad government. That's not going to happen, the rebels are not organized enough to ensure that everyone would support the negotiations, plus I doubt they would even want to considering everything the government had done to them. The US and the rest should have gotten involved while the conflict was still young. I can understand why they are hesitant to give more then aid and covert support, but the government has been getting support from Iran, Hezbollah, and Russia, which is why recently they have seen some gains. Our limited involvement has just insured that this civil war is going to get worse as the rebels and the government get more desperate and use more brutal tactics to win. Plus, Islamic fighters are now a major part of the rebel forces, meaning they are going to be powerful if the rebels win this conflict.
