35 raid clears in total, 24 of which are loot based clears. Have done ALL three characters for every week since the raid launched. And not a single touch has dropped. I understand my luck is just terrible but like, is there even an ounce of bad luck protection in place for it?! There is for Eyes, and I think there was for vex. So why is touch for the most part so illusive?
Edit: I’m well aware of the novelty of grinding out weeks of raids for an exotic. Ain’t my first rodeo with destiny raids for that haha. Just an honest question to the devs is all!
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No raids have/had drop protection outside of 1k/Anarchy (EoT does now, but it was bugged for the LONGEST time and split the % across your characters. That has since been fixed) Crunching a 95% chance to [i]not[/i] get it per week, at 24 runs you've a 25% chance to NOT have had a drop. Your chance of having had a SINGULAR drop is TRIPLE not having it 30 runs no ToM is 21% likely 33 is 18% likely 36 is 15% likely And so on The fact that the odds of having a SINGULAR drop are multiplicatively higher than NOT having a drop boggles my mind but the gremlins are going to hit you with "rng gonna rng" And unfortunately I'm in the same boat Collective took me 40 something iirc I think I stopped counting after 42, and at that point, that's an [i]11 fricking percent[/i] chance to have NOT had one drop AT ALL