It’s been 113 days since VOG came out, which is 16 weeks and 1 day. 16 weeks * 3 characters = 48 runs of VOG. Vex has still not dropped, I’ve hit pinnacle power cap (1320 & now 1330) in now 2 season before this thing dropped. That should not be possible, one should not go a whole season of doing the raid three times each week, & doing Atheon challenges to get extra drops at the boss and still come up dry.
No Hard Data To Back This:
Rummer mill states that vex base drop rate is 3% and it’s +2% for every unsuccessful drop. So if one ran VOG since it came out, 3x per week and still don’t have Vex they would have a 99% drop chance next run. The next available run is Tuesday reset.
If vex does not drop next week for anyone who has ran 3 characters since vog came out, then the drop rate is truly broken.
Eyes of Tomorrow had a bug in the drop rate coding and Bungie stated in the March 18, 2021 edition of This Week at Bungie, that the system was incorrectly coded, resulting in the increased chances to be applied incorrectly to the Bad Luck Protection. Bad Luck Protection is supposed to be account wide; however, it has been factored individually for each character that completed the Deep Stone Crypt Raid. A fix for this will come on March 23, 2021 with Update 3.1.1.1.
Link to Bungie Post: https://www.bungie.net/en/News/Article/50196
DOES VEX HAVE THIS SAME BUG?
Update - I will be updating this each week
Just finished 3 more runs and did not get it, bring the total to 51 runs, since vog came out meaning the drop rate does not increase by 2%
If we assume a 1% increase that would put us at a 54% chance next week
Update 2 - on the last run for this week vex was obtained. Thus it took 54 runs to get ~57% chance
-
Some people might not want to hear this, but try making a new character. Some nerd was pontificating a while ago that your rng seed stays with your character forever. For the uninitiated, true randomness is basically impossible to simulate, and without getting into the philosophical/epistemological implications thereof, an rng seed is used in applications where an approximation of randomness is needed, such as security related stuff. Not sure if the guy was right about all that, and I have neither the time nor the skill to dig through this games code, which I imagine is akin to a bowl of spaghetti, but it could be worth a shot Alternately, take a break. I got vex on my 4th clear after being gone for like a month