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Edited by SouLFeeS:
5/16/2019 6:52:06 PM
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It’s a weighted estimate of the total number of people who want cores removed. The clean number is 65%, but if you add the number that want cores removed AND want more masterwork options, the number goes up to 75%. The other 2.5% are those who want cores to remain.
The latter crowd are more active, so I was comfortable using the 2.5%. The former has to be estimated lower since inactive players are harder to reach, even if Bungie announces a change and every streamer and blogger picks up on it, which is very likely on this issue.
I then used a baseline engagement number of 500k. This was a little generous, because 1) we don’t know gambit and D1 PvE numbers and 2) engagement has been...erratic since Zero Hour release. Still, PvE engagement got close enough, and 500k is a reasonable benchmark considering we could be over 1 million easily if everyone was happy with the game.
If you disagree with any of that, fine, but you should know, I’m trained to poll. I used to do it for national political campaigns. I stand by what I said.
EDIT: +/-5 🤓
English
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Edited by ScotchEggsRules: 5/18/2019 5:14:04 PMAnd pollsters are famous for being reliable, right? 😏 You can extrapolate any conclusions from a poll, but they are, in my experience, wrong as often as they're right. Source data being the higgest problem. People lie, people hide their true feelings on subjects. That's why using to polls to predict something is as reliable as trusting a total stranger to tell another total stranger the truth, about something close to them.
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First, I don’t know which poll you refer to. Second, I don’t know how you randomly chose the respondents as what would occur in a scientific poll. Third, let’s talk about bias, including wording, non responsive and, skewing, etc... You could not choose the respondents. That’s the first mistake, as any scientific poll chooses randomly it’s respondents. The pollsters actually question random individuals, based on a database that states they are actually part of the targeted audience. They don’t send it out to the entire population. Second mistake, non responsive bias. No way you could know how many alternate and duplicate accounts responded to this poll. Third mistake skewing bias. Two separate sections here; first being the number of ppl who despise Bungie, regardless of the hot button issue, is large in this forum. They just want to watch the developer crash and burn. Next being the number of alternate and duplicate accounts running around here. No poll placed on this forum can be considered “scientific”. If you were truly trained in polling and the sciences behind them, you would know it’s impossible to gauge this community..., without ACTUALLY knowing who is responding to your poll. Unless of course, your mind was already made up and you were trying to game a system in hopes of statistically proving your point. 1) Who are your respondents? Are there duplicate accounts, or multiple ppl participating under pseudo-names? Have they “made it to the farm and are age 13” only? Did you check each person who was polled? If you can’t answer these and many more, and I don’t think you can, then your poll is just guesswork. Maybe even worse, but guessing is best case scenario.
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You just typed a lot of stuff for no reason.
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lol, fair point. We’ve both been typing lots of stuff for no reason. Heck, you even created a poll, apparently, for no reason.
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Edited by SouLFeeS: 5/17/2019 3:20:28 AMYou know what I meant, and I’m not here to teach you anything. If you question the validity of the ground truth, fine. It’s a bit hypocritical, however, since you’re here...among them...consistently. Further, it’s the easiest argument you can make, “the respondents aren’t real”. It’s like crying voter fraud when you lose. Regardless, I stand by my numbers. EDIT: Here’s the [url=https://www.bungie.net/en/Forum/Post/252048395/0/0]poll[/url]. You should vote. Add some legitimacy.
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Nobody likes their work debunked. You have my apologies if it hurts your feelings. There is no authenticity behind your poll to validate those numbers though. Polling is a science that only works in a very rigidly controlled environment, with very controlled respondents, data, and questions.
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You know what I meant. I’m not here to teach you anything. If you don’t accept the validity of the ground truth, fine. Although, it’s the easiest copout to take, and is incredibly ironic, specifically since you consistently dwell among the same pool you assert is invalid. As I said. I stand by my numbers.
