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4/5/2016 10:24:07 PM
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97-99% Chance of Donald Trump becoming President
According to a near-perfect statistical formula that predicts who will become president, there is a 97-99% chance Donald Trump will win the election if he wins the Republican nomination. Since 1912, the formula has only been wrong once.
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1 Reply"Everything on the Internet is true" -George Washington
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7 RepliesWho did that math, Bernie Sanders?
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1 ReplyIf the world worked like XCOM, he'd probably still -blam!-ing miss.
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Edited by Wheatley: 4/10/2016 4:30:46 PM[quote]Athe formula has only been wrong once.[/quote] As long as the formula doesn't use 100% or 0% as a predicted result, it can't be wrong.
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3 RepliesAlright, I'm calling a hitman now
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1 Reply[quote]Since 1912, the formula has only been wrong once.[/quote] This has been the election where many conventional theories have been broken. Nothing is certain anymore.
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7 Replies99% chance nothing will happen for the next four years if trump is elected.
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5 RepliesWell... Moving my ass to Mexico then...
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If trump loses his nomination in the convention, the democratic nominee will most likely win. The republicans will split their votes enough for the democrats to win.
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9 RepliesYeah, well this magic man says otherwise. https://newrepublic.com/minutes/127136/warlock-mexico-predicted-donald-trump-will-not-45th-president-america Who do you believe? A janky stupid math nerd or a literal wizard?
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Trump and a republican controlled congress will get a lot more done than a democrat and a republican controlled congress. Trump 2016.
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Hilary is the favourite.
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If he's running for office and somewhere back water like Louisiana I have no doubt that he will win
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1 ReplyYay! Score one for the Republican's. [spoiler]star wars battlefront reference.[/spoiler]
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My hero
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Trump is absolutely going to be our next president simply because America has a history of electing celebrities for office.
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2 Replies[quote]Since 1912, the formula has only been wrong once.[/quote]How many predictions has it made? Or was the model solely built upon prior data? I bet you don't even know why these questions are important.
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People don't actually say whose going to be president the electoral college does
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5 RepliesWell, it'd be better than Cruz winning at least.
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According to every poll out there, he is getting his ass handed to him in every toss up state and even losing some Republican states to both democratic candidates. The people voting for trump now are likely the only ones who will vote in a general election, and around 30% of republicans say they wouldn't vote for trump. I don't know what this statisticians formula is, but I'm pretty sure he multiplied everything by ten on accident at some point.
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Lost me at near perfect
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2 RepliesI hope we all realize that despite being a complete liar Hillary destroys Trump by a lot in every poll
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6 RepliesWait do you actually believe that?
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I have pretty good luck. Let's go, 3% chance!
