Pretty ambitious game, you think it'll succeed?
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No. Too ambitious for an initial release. They need to give the backers something so they don't get pissed and withdraw. This is a game that they want so big, they have to push it out in segments. Otherwise it's a five-six year development cycle and that's difficult to maintain without having a massive following or capital base, like Bethesda or Rockstar.
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They have a lot of money and an extremely dedicated leader in Chris Roberts who's been planning this game for decades. There have been some delays recently but I couldn't care less about them. It's only three years into development, but because they are more open with the development process it upsets people more it seems. I recently got a nice warthog HOTAS setup and I'll have an oculus rift when they finally release. Can't wait!!!!
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People wolere getting refunds for a while because it's been delayed so much.
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More than likely it will. The level of detail even in the alpha is amazing.