originally posted in:Collective Of Knowledge
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So I decided to do an In-Depth analysis on the Random Number Generated Loot in Nightfalls, which came out to be an excellent project for the Taken King, Due to the new weekly Nightfall reward-ish bounty.
[spoiler]Warning, this was in HoW[/spoiler]
I found the individual data from 100 nightfalls, which is roughly from around 32-35 people. I would like to give thanks to the people who gave me their nightfall rewards for this post, you know who you are.
[b]
The data is as shown:[/b]
There are Five archetype of loot you can attain from a nightfall:
Exotics
Legendary Weapons
Legendary Engrams
Etheric Light
Strange Coins
You can not get legendary armor from a nightfall, this may change in TTK but likely not, Also I would like to say that exotic armor and weapons have no difference in drop chance, al though I did see a lot more weapons than armor.
Taking each section of the loot I counted each of 100 drops and tallied them into each section accurately.
[b]Each archetype scored as followed:
[/b]
Exotics: [b]38[/b]
Legendaries: [b]31[/b]
Strange Coins: [b]14[/b]
Etheric Light: [b]12[/b]
Legendary Engrams: [b]5 [/b]
I then took the base number (100) and divided each number by it, Then I took this decimal and turned into a percentage.
[b]This Percentage is the final drop rate chance of each archetype of loot:[/b]
Exotics: [b]38%[/b]
Legendary Weapons: [b]31%[/b]
Strange Coins: [b]14%[/b]
Etheric Light: [b]12%[/b]
Legendary Engrams: [b]5%[/b]
This final data shows that Exotics are the most common item from a nightfall, scoring over [i]1/3 loot drop chances[/i], meaning if you have three characters you will most likely get atleast [i]one exotic[/i].
On the other hand, legendary engrams are the rarest to get from a nightfall. With only a [i]5% Chance[/i] to get one.
I hope you may be able to use this data somewhere in a video, other data post, or other things
[i]
Thank you[/i]
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Prevents don't really matter though. It's still RNG :(