OPs post is filled with so much garbage most people won't understand what he is trying to say. He believes that destiny doesn't use a balanced drop rate, that certain items (like hawkmoon in this case) have a lower multiplier. His example was if there was 10 exotics in the game, during a roll to get an exotic it would be 10% per each one, so statistically after getting 10 in a row it should be extremely rare to get the same exotics consistently without get some of the others first (I've gotten 7 hard lights in a row). In a weighted system the more rare items have a lower drop rate. So if the hawkmoon was the only weighted exotic at a 1% drop rate, the other 9 would have an 11% drop rate.
People also believe that the thunderlord and ghorn are among some other exotics that have lower drop %.
Here's the thing... We were never told that destiny doesn't have a weighted drop system, and for just about every game that I've played that uses drops, they utilize some system like this in order give items some feeling of rarity.
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Yeah but it's more complicated than that. They use the statistics that they collect already AND whether or not you have had a weapon before to determine your favorite weapons, or most likely to go after weapons, and then they alter drop rate percentages to keep you chasing the carrot. It's dishonest, deceptive.
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Edited by HectX: 7/27/2015 7:23:24 PMI'm pretty sure they don't know what weapon you "really" want. I love scout rifles, they are my favorite weapon, I've gotten about 20 MIDA multi tool drops. I hate pulse rifles, barely ever use them, I've only gotten 1 red death. By your logic the pulse rifle would be the weapon I got more. Hard light and ghorn were the only two original exotics that eluded me during pre TDB and even during TDB. My first 2 weeks of HoW I got 7 hard lights and the ghorn. It's still just a numbers game, but they most likely (won't say definitely) aren't messing with % to screw individuals, but probably are messing with them to make certain weapons harder to obtain.