Timurs lash does 96 for a headshot so it's never a 2 shot without luck in the chamber.
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Can't confirm for iron banner although I'm sure it's still the same result. In regular PVP it is a 2 shot head shot kill, no luck in the chamber needed I can confirm this cause I've used the Timmy plenty of times.
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2x 96 = 192. That would need to be the very lowest of HP setups, I'm not even sure you can bring your HP down that far think minimum is 194.