After doing some rough math in my head i counted the grand total % chance of getting coins ascendants or purples at 52% yet it saya below that there is only a 37.something% chance of getting an exotic.
What happened there?
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Bungie, or whoever did the stats before, probably had a larger sample size than you, which would account for most of that difference when you consider 50 people rather than 1,000,000 people or more in your estimate.
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Im just talking about this guys spreadsheet, it has nothing to do with bungie. Did you even look at it? Also, he has over 24000 samples, not just 50.